Research.

An evolutionary multi-agent trading system for on-chain prediction contracts, deployed on Polymarket. Across 113,346 resolved trades, a one-unit increase in absolute disagreement is associated with roughly $245 of additional per-trade profit; after an engineering fix, live deployment reached an 82.5% win rate and positive realized profit.

Agha, Saif Aldeen A. K. (2026). Algorithmic Trading in Idiosyncratic-Payoff Markets: A Multi-Agent System for On-Chain Prediction Contracts. CMC Senior Theses, 4101.

An assessment of Rain (rain.one), a permissionless prediction-markets protocol on Arbitrum positioning itself as infrastructure rather than a consumer venue. Covers the Delphi oracle and dispute layer, the buy-and-burn tokenomics and unlock schedule, the token-holding-friction critique and its B2B rebuttal, competitive positioning against Polymarket and Kalshi, and the Enlivex (ENLV) prediction-market treasury thesis.